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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.18vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+3.67vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+6.18vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.62+6.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.19+3.01vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.63+8.01vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+2.33vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.70+1.93vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-2.42vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.01+2.65vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.17-3.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.12vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.06-5.02vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-7.55vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.80-6.10vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.69-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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5.67College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.47Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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14.01University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.33Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.93Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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6.58Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.65Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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6.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 16.6% | 39.3% |
| Maeve White | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Augie Dale | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 20.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.