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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+3.68vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.85vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.62+5.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.17+2.48vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.06+1.83vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.19-0.58vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.63+2.86vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.32vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.62vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.92-4.54vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-7.54vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-3.24vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.70-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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5.68College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.39Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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8.83Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston College3.190.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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10.38SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.46Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.76Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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10.23Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Cusick | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Augie Dale | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 38.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Maeve White | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 20.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.