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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+7.01vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+3.71vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.07vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.06+4.84vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.24vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+1.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.68vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67-1.72vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.70+1.38vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-0.85vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.01+1.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.17-3.68vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.03vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.95-4.67vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia1.63-1.27vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.62-5.43vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.69-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.71College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.28Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.38Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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9.15Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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12.79Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.25SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack Cusick | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Bradley Adam | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Augie Dale | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Maeve White | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 24.2% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 36.9% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.