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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.06+7.56vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+4.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+5.27vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.45vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.70+4.99vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+3.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.21vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.63+5.54vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.84-3.07vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.51vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.62-1.49vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.04vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.38-6.39vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-8.92vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-3.24vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.69-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.27Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.27Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.99Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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9.53Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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5.93College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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10.51Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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12.76Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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10.29SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Augie Dale | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Maeve White | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 36.5% |
| Jack Cusick | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Michael Madigan | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 22.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.