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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+5.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.98vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+3.33vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.86vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.62+5.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.89vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.19+1.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-1.00vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.84-5.04vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.06-3.22vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.63+0.86vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.63vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.92-5.70vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-3.24vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.70-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.28Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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5.96College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.78Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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13.86University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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10.37SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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12.76Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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10.25Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Madigan | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Jack Cusick | 12.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 37.7% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Maeve White | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 21.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.