Race 1A

timme-angsten

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Harvey 13.9% 11.3% 12.1% 13.2% 11.4% 11.5% 8.7% 7.5% 3.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.6%
Ian Schappe 7.4% 9.7% 9.8% 8.4% 10.1% 9.9% 9.5% 10.7% 10.0% 7.7% 4.9% 1.9%
Amelia Shankwitz 10.0% 8.9% 9.9% 10.4% 9.6% 8.8% 9.9% 10.2% 11.0% 6.4% 3.7% 1.2%
Noah Rosenthal 6.3% 8.7% 10.1% 9.1% 9.5% 11.1% 10.9% 9.8% 7.4% 9.2% 5.2% 2.7%
Mason Wolters 14.4% 14.6% 13.3% 13.4% 9.5% 9.1% 9.6% 5.9% 5.3% 2.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Libby Reeg 2.9% 3.1% 3.9% 5.0% 4.6% 4.5% 7.0% 7.5% 9.7% 12.9% 21.1% 17.8%
Isabella Hamilton 7.9% 8.4% 8.8% 8.5% 9.5% 10.4% 8.3% 11.1% 9.8% 8.4% 6.2% 2.7%
Soren Walljasper 21.7% 16.8% 13.2% 12.7% 10.3% 8.6% 7.9% 3.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Ryan Clulo 6.0% 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 10.1% 9.1% 9.7% 11.0% 10.9% 8.9% 5.0% 2.3%
Rachel Rantanen 4.7% 4.7% 5.4% 4.0% 8.2% 6.1% 7.2% 10.8% 11.7% 13.3% 14.2% 9.7%
Geoffrey Owens 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 4.1% 7.4% 9.6% 17.5% 44.4%
David Aspery 3.2% 4.2% 2.8% 3.5% 4.6% 7.0% 7.5% 8.3% 9.7% 14.8% 18.4% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.