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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.59+6.92vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.11+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.40+2.67vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College1.28+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.18+1.21vs Predicted
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6Washington University1.78-1.36vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.24-1.06vs Predicted
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8Hope College0.28+0.48vs Predicted
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9Marquette University1.11-2.72vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.84-5.50vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.34-2.48vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-0.31-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.87University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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5.67University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
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6.03Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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4.64Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.94Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.48Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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6.28Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Michigan1.840.1%1st Place
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8.52Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Rantanen | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
| Soren Walljasper | 18.6% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Ian Schappe | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| James Harvey | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Libby Reeg | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Mason Wolters | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| David Aspery | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 15.6% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.