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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+4.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+3.82vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+2.36vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+0.24vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84+0.44vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+0.17vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.19-0.75vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.01-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.05+2.12vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.88vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.69vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.13-0.25vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.01-2.40vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-5.62vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.48-2.96vs Predicted
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18Williams College-1.54-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Boston College2.0914.3%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College1.7110.4%1st Place
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6.82Brown University1.698.5%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University2.1713.2%1st Place
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6.44Bowdoin College1.848.8%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University1.155.5%1st Place
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8.25Yale University1.195.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University1.014.7%1st Place
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13.12University of Vermont-0.051.5%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.2%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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13.75Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
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12.6Northeastern University0.011.7%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.6%1st Place
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14.04Boston University-0.480.9%1st Place
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16.37Williams College-1.540.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Elle Sykes | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ella Towner | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 7.8% |
| Emma Wang | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 13.5% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Ella Demand | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 20.1% | 15.2% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 17.4% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.