Race 6B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Mullins 35.9% 26.1% 17.8% 10.2% 6.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Kelleher 26.1% 25.9% 20.9% 14.0% 8.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Campbell 3.1% 5.4% 5.6% 9.6% 10.6% 16.2% 20.9% 19.1% 8.3% 1.2%
Sam Millham 4.7% 7.9% 11.8% 16.3% 18.5% 16.3% 13.5% 8.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Jeff Goodrich 17.4% 20.1% 21.4% 19.2% 11.5% 6.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Kevin Walsh 5.2% 5.0% 8.3% 9.1% 15.0% 18.8% 16.9% 14.1% 7.1% 0.5%
Thomas Presti 4.9% 6.0% 9.2% 12.9% 18.5% 17.0% 16.3% 11.1% 3.6% 0.5%
Gabrielle Heine 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 3.2% 3.7% 7.9% 9.6% 16.7% 45.7% 9.4%
Tom McKenzie 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 5.1% 6.4% 11.3% 15.7% 25.7% 25.2% 3.6%
Noah Aschen 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 3.7% 7.7% 84.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.