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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.18+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.34-1.51vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.19-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.47University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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2.56University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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3.49University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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5.51California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 29.7% | 30.3% | 21.4% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Emily Dahl | 29.6% | 24.1% | 23.2% | 16.2% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 25.0% | 25.3% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 16.0% | 46.5% | 21.9% |
| Blair Johnston | 11.1% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 29.8% | 19.3% | 5.5% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 18.4% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.