Race 3A

timme-angsten

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Noah Rosenthal 8.5% 6.8% 8.2% 9.0% 9.7% 11.1% 9.9% 10.1% 9.1% 9.0% 6.0% 2.6%
Soren Walljasper 19.4% 18.4% 13.9% 14.4% 9.4% 7.9% 6.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Amelia Shankwitz 9.5% 8.9% 10.3% 10.0% 9.1% 9.8% 10.0% 12.0% 9.3% 6.2% 3.4% 1.5%
Ryan Clulo 5.6% 6.9% 9.9% 8.4% 10.4% 9.6% 9.8% 9.8% 9.6% 9.4% 6.8% 3.8%
James Harvey 13.3% 14.9% 13.3% 10.9% 10.0% 11.0% 9.4% 6.0% 4.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.4%
Ian Schappe 8.9% 8.3% 8.5% 9.3% 9.5% 9.8% 12.1% 8.8% 9.3% 7.5% 5.7% 2.3%
Isabella Hamilton 7.8% 8.3% 8.9% 9.5% 9.5% 8.2% 9.3% 10.0% 10.6% 9.3% 5.3% 3.3%
David Aspery 3.5% 4.1% 4.3% 4.1% 5.7% 6.8% 5.9% 8.4% 10.3% 12.6% 18.5% 15.8%
Rachel Rantanen 4.0% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 7.5% 7.6% 8.7% 10.3% 11.7% 13.8% 12.7% 9.2%
Libby Reeg 3.6% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.6% 4.5% 6.3% 8.2% 10.7% 13.1% 18.8% 17.9%
Geoffrey Owens 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 1.7% 3.0% 3.4% 3.5% 4.7% 6.9% 10.8% 18.1% 43.1%
Mason Wolters 13.9% 14.0% 13.2% 13.0% 10.6% 10.3% 8.3% 7.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.