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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University1.78+3.74vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.24+4.06vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28+5.56vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College1.28+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.40+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.11-2.11vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.11-0.68vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34+0.28vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University0.59-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.18-4.77vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-0.31-2.07vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.84-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.06Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.56Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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6.04Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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6.32Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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8.28Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.72Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.56University of Michigan1.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harvey | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 6.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Libby Reeg | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 18.1% |
| Ian Schappe | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 19.6% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| David Aspery | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 15.8% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 9.2% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 42.6% |
| Mason Wolters | 14.6% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.