Race 5A

timme-angsten

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Harvey 14.2% 13.0% 13.5% 13.9% 11.6% 10.0% 8.0% 6.8% 4.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.6%
Amelia Shankwitz 8.4% 11.5% 10.2% 11.1% 11.4% 11.2% 9.7% 9.4% 7.4% 5.5% 3.4% 0.8%
Noah Rosenthal 9.4% 8.0% 8.8% 10.6% 9.4% 10.8% 9.6% 12.0% 9.7% 6.4% 4.1% 1.2%
Soren Walljasper 20.2% 18.0% 17.5% 12.0% 10.6% 7.8% 5.9% 4.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Ian Schappe 8.6% 8.9% 10.2% 10.6% 10.3% 10.0% 11.1% 9.0% 8.6% 6.6% 4.3% 1.8%
Ryan Clulo 7.4% 8.5% 8.1% 7.6% 10.1% 9.5% 12.3% 9.9% 10.5% 7.8% 6.3% 2.0%
David Aspery 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 3.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.7% 9.7% 9.5% 13.8% 15.8% 13.6%
Rachel Rantanen 5.1% 4.8% 6.2% 5.6% 6.6% 7.2% 9.1% 10.0% 12.1% 13.6% 11.8% 7.9%
Libby Reeg 2.7% 3.1% 3.6% 4.7% 5.8% 7.5% 8.0% 10.3% 10.6% 15.1% 15.5% 13.1%
Geoffrey Owens 1.7% 3.4% 1.7% 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 4.1% 5.8% 8.7% 12.0% 17.8% 35.7%
Michael Valverde 2.8% 2.2% 1.9% 4.3% 4.0% 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 12.0% 12.9% 19.1% 22.8%
Mason Wolters 15.7% 14.4% 13.5% 12.9% 11.0% 10.3% 8.2% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.