Race 6A

timme-angsten

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Harvey 13.9% 13.4% 13.6% 14.8% 11.4% 9.1% 8.7% 6.8% 3.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.6%
Ryan Clulo 6.3% 7.7% 8.6% 10.0% 10.6% 10.6% 9.5% 10.1% 10.0% 7.9% 6.4% 2.3%
Noah Rosenthal 9.0% 7.4% 10.1% 9.4% 10.2% 9.1% 10.2% 11.8% 11.0% 6.8% 3.8% 1.2%
Ian Schappe 8.0% 9.7% 9.3% 10.9% 11.1% 11.1% 10.1% 7.6% 8.1% 9.1% 3.8% 1.2%
Soren Walljasper 20.9% 19.2% 15.7% 10.7% 10.8% 7.4% 6.4% 4.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Amelia Shankwitz 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 11.4% 10.4% 11.7% 10.5% 9.0% 7.4% 5.5% 3.3% 1.0%
Geoffrey Owens 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 5.4% 4.4% 6.1% 8.6% 10.0% 18.8% 34.7%
David Aspery 3.6% 5.0% 4.5% 4.6% 5.4% 6.8% 6.7% 9.9% 10.3% 14.6% 15.1% 13.5%
Libby Reeg 3.2% 3.1% 4.1% 4.3% 5.4% 6.8% 8.7% 10.4% 11.6% 13.6% 14.9% 13.9%
Michael Valverde 3.4% 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 4.8% 4.6% 7.0% 6.7% 11.5% 13.0% 17.8% 21.6%
Rachel Rantanen 4.1% 4.5% 4.2% 6.2% 5.7% 7.7% 9.6% 10.6% 11.1% 12.9% 13.9% 9.5%
Mason Wolters 15.7% 14.4% 14.8% 12.1% 11.0% 9.7% 8.2% 7.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.