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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.40+4.50vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.84+2.29vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.24+2.84vs Predicted
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4Marquette University1.11+2.15vs Predicted
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5Washington University1.78-0.51vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.59+1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.11-3.35vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College1.28-2.38vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.34-1.95vs Predicted
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11Hope College0.28-2.76vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.08-3.07vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-0.31-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Michigan1.840.1%1st Place
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5.84Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.15Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.49Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.59Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.65University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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5.62Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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8.05Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.24Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amelia Shankwitz | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Mason Wolters | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Clulo | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| James Harvey | 14.6% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 7.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 20.5% | 20.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ian Schappe | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| David Aspery | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.7% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 21.3% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.