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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.11+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.84+2.34vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.78+1.41vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.24+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.40+0.41vs Predicted
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6Marquette University1.11+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.08+1.68vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.59-0.53vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College1.28-4.45vs Predicted
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11Hope College0.28-2.70vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.34-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-0.31-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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4.34University of Michigan1.840.1%1st Place
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4.41Washington University1.780.2%1st Place
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5.87Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
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6.17Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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7.47Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.55Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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8.3Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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8.34Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Walljasper | 19.7% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| James Harvey | 16.2% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 6.8% |
| Ian Schappe | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Libby Reeg | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 14.9% |
| David Aspery | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.