← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington University1.78+3.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan1.84+2.28vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University1.24+2.82vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University0.59+3.61vs Predicted
-
5Hope College0.28+3.35vs Predicted
-
6Lake Forest College1.28-0.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin2.11-3.37vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University1.11-1.94vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University0.34-0.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Minnesota0.08-1.24vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin1.40-5.49vs Predicted
-
13University of Chicago-0.31-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.52Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
-
4.28University of Michigan1.840.1%1st Place
-
5.82Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
-
7.61Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.35Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
-
5.75Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
-
3.63University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
-
6.06Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
-
8.06Ohio State University0.340.0%1st Place
-
8.76University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.51University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
-
9.65University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harvey | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mason Wolters | 14.7% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 8.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 17.2% |
| Ian Schappe | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Soren Walljasper | 21.0% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Clulo | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| David Aspery | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 10.3% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 20.3% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.