Race 1B

timme-angsten

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Ross 28.6% 23.9% 19.1% 12.4% 7.1% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Zimmerman 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 6.6% 5.6% 6.9% 9.1% 12.2% 12.6% 12.8% 12.1% 8.9% 3.8%
Alexandra Anderson 8.8% 12.2% 13.5% 13.7% 14.1% 12.6% 9.9% 8.0% 3.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Evan Rodgers 4.3% 4.7% 6.2% 9.9% 9.1% 11.4% 11.2% 11.3% 11.2% 9.7% 6.3% 3.8% 0.9%
Max Vinocur 2.9% 3.0% 3.2% 4.8% 5.9% 7.5% 8.3% 9.8% 11.4% 15.5% 14.0% 9.0% 4.7%
William Lewis 3.0% 5.8% 6.6% 7.0% 8.9% 10.5% 10.9% 10.7% 11.3% 10.5% 8.4% 5.0% 1.4%
Eric Villadsen 7.4% 7.3% 12.2% 11.2% 13.3% 10.1% 10.4% 11.2% 8.3% 4.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 6.9% 9.0% 9.2% 10.3% 12.0% 13.1% 13.4% 10.2% 7.6% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Charles Koules 1.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.8% 12.1% 17.2% 20.5% 15.3%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 29.3% 23.8% 17.0% 11.9% 7.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Lynch 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 2.0% 1.4% 2.1% 3.4% 4.9% 5.8% 10.6% 21.4% 46.3%
Susan Riley 3.7% 3.9% 5.5% 7.4% 7.2% 10.2% 11.1% 10.4% 13.4% 11.6% 9.3% 4.0% 2.3%
Paul DeTrempe 0.7% 1.2% 0.7% 1.6% 3.2% 2.4% 3.6% 4.4% 6.7% 9.7% 15.6% 25.1% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.