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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University2.25+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+0.76vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.25+4.55vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.25+2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.84-0.43vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.40-0.26vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.84-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.23-4.27vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College-0.83-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.10-2.99vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-1.15-1.70vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.23-5.61vs Predicted
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14University of Chicago-1.76-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Washington University2.250.3%1st Place
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2.76University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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8.55Michigan State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.19Ohio State University0.250.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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6.74Hope College0.400.0%1st Place
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5.62Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Michigan1.230.1%1st Place
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9.74Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.39Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Chicago-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Ross | 28.3% | 24.8% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 28.8% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Vinocur | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.2% |
| William Lewis | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Eric Villadsen | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Evan Rodgers | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Koules | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 14.2% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 25.9% | 19.5% |
| Susan Riley | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Connor Lynch | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.