Race 3B

timme-angsten

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Ross 26.4% 27.8% 17.6% 12.1% 8.0% 4.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Zimmerman 2.9% 3.2% 3.8% 5.5% 5.4% 7.9% 8.8% 11.2% 12.9% 14.2% 13.2% 8.9% 2.1%
William Lewis 3.2% 3.3% 5.3% 8.1% 9.3% 9.8% 11.1% 12.0% 13.7% 11.1% 7.9% 4.5% 0.7%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 28.1% 24.0% 17.9% 13.1% 8.0% 4.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 7.8% 7.7% 11.3% 11.0% 10.8% 12.4% 12.2% 10.1% 7.6% 5.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Alexandra Anderson 10.5% 12.6% 13.9% 13.8% 13.6% 12.3% 8.4% 5.7% 5.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Charles Koules 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 3.7% 6.6% 6.5% 7.9% 12.9% 18.0% 23.2% 8.8%
Max Vinocur 2.6% 2.4% 3.5% 5.0% 5.7% 6.1% 9.2% 10.6% 11.8% 15.3% 15.2% 10.1% 2.5%
Eric Villadsen 6.8% 7.2% 10.3% 10.0% 13.0% 12.7% 11.8% 11.1% 7.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Susan Riley 4.9% 3.5% 4.8% 7.0% 8.8% 10.5% 11.8% 10.5% 11.7% 10.3% 10.0% 5.3% 0.9%
Evan Rodgers 4.4% 4.9% 7.4% 8.8% 10.7% 12.2% 11.5% 12.1% 10.2% 8.3% 6.0% 3.2% 0.3%
Kevin Zen 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 2.1% 2.7% 4.6% 7.4% 14.0% 64.9%
Paul DeTrempe 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 3.5% 5.8% 7.9% 10.0% 15.3% 28.4% 19.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.