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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.90+0.60vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.19+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.26University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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2.35University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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5.3California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 33.8% | 31.0% | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dahl | 32.7% | 26.4% | 26.0% | 12.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 27.6% | 28.9% | 28.8% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 24.7% | 36.9% | 24.0% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 0.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 23.9% | 58.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.0% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 34.4% | 31.5% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.