Race 6A

mcsa-open-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Braden Vogel 18.0% 16.0% 14.1% 12.0% 11.4% 8.1% 7.4% 5.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Timothy Hesse 17.8% 15.8% 13.4% 13.0% 11.2% 10.0% 7.9% 5.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Brieden 12.0% 12.2% 12.2% 10.9% 10.8% 10.8% 8.7% 7.5% 5.9% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Nithya Balachander 9.8% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 10.4% 9.6% 10.2% 9.6% 8.2% 6.5% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 6.0% 7.0% 8.1% 8.6% 9.4% 10.0% 8.9% 9.0% 10.9% 8.2% 7.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Jake Weinstein 10.3% 10.5% 11.6% 11.7% 10.5% 9.5% 10.2% 8.5% 6.0% 5.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 5.5% 5.6% 6.7% 8.5% 9.2% 10.1% 11.3% 11.9% 9.4% 5.4% 1.9%
Mason Shaw 6.4% 5.9% 8.2% 8.0% 9.2% 8.3% 8.9% 10.8% 9.6% 10.2% 7.8% 4.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Jack Rutherford 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 2.9% 3.9% 5.4% 5.0% 7.5% 11.7% 18.4% 20.1% 15.8%
Andrew Michels 6.3% 7.6% 7.3% 8.3% 7.5% 8.7% 8.9% 10.0% 10.8% 10.6% 7.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Nok In Chan 3.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.5% 5.5% 6.8% 7.2% 7.5% 10.2% 10.8% 13.1% 11.9% 6.8% 1.7%
Jacob Hsia 1.8% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 4.0% 3.5% 4.8% 6.9% 8.2% 11.3% 15.8% 20.7% 14.1%
Keegan Aerts 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 2.3% 3.5% 4.4% 5.5% 9.7% 16.8% 51.6%
Carly Irwin 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 4.5% 4.4% 6.2% 8.0% 11.1% 15.8% 23.4% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.