Race 5B

timme-angsten

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Ross 27.1% 25.0% 18.3% 12.8% 7.9% 4.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Anderson 9.4% 12.0% 14.8% 13.0% 14.5% 11.8% 9.3% 6.9% 4.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 28.0% 24.5% 19.1% 12.0% 7.8% 4.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Katherine Zimmerman 2.4% 2.1% 3.9% 5.9% 7.7% 8.8% 8.0% 10.7% 11.5% 13.7% 12.8% 9.2% 3.3%
Charles Koules 2.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 6.3% 6.5% 10.0% 11.0% 17.2% 21.0% 12.5%
Mason Chrabaszcz 7.5% 8.5% 9.0% 13.6% 11.2% 12.2% 12.2% 9.6% 6.6% 5.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Evan Rodgers 5.2% 5.4% 6.7% 9.3% 8.9% 10.3% 11.1% 11.2% 11.9% 10.1% 6.4% 3.1% 0.4%
Max Vinocur 1.8% 3.7% 3.8% 3.3% 5.6% 6.1% 8.5% 11.6% 12.4% 13.6% 13.1% 13.2% 3.3%
William Lewis 4.4% 3.6% 5.8% 6.6% 8.3% 10.1% 11.2% 12.6% 10.8% 11.7% 8.6% 4.7% 1.6%
Eric Villadsen 7.5% 7.5% 9.9% 11.3% 12.6% 12.5% 11.1% 10.5% 6.7% 5.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4%
Paul DeTrempe 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 2.2% 2.3% 3.0% 6.0% 4.0% 8.3% 11.2% 13.9% 24.4% 21.9%
Susan Riley 3.2% 4.5% 5.6% 6.4% 8.7% 9.6% 8.7% 12.5% 13.3% 10.6% 10.3% 5.1% 1.5%
Connor Lynch 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 3.1% 5.5% 10.5% 16.0% 54.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.