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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University2.25+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.10+5.15vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.40+2.84vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.25+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.23-1.31vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.25+1.28vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.83+1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota0.84-3.25vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.84-4.33vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.23-4.92vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-1.15-2.49vs Predicted
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14University of Chicago-1.76-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Washington University2.250.3%1st Place
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2.8University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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8.15University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.84Hope College0.400.0%1st Place
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7.11Ohio State University0.250.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Michigan1.230.1%1st Place
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8.28Michigan State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.71Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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5.67Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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7.08Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Chicago-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Ross | 27.6% | 24.6% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 27.4% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Evan Rodgers | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| William Lewis | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Vinocur | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Charles Koules | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 24.2% | 12.5% |
| Eric Villadsen | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Susan Riley | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 25.6% |
| Connor Lynch | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 20.1% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.