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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nathan Ross 30.0% 26.4% 19.8% 11.9% 6.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 31.0% 25.4% 17.9% 12.6% 7.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Rodgers 5.3% 5.2% 8.3% 8.3% 10.9% 12.7% 13.3% 12.3% 10.2% 7.6% 4.3% 1.6%
Alexandra Anderson 9.0% 13.5% 16.0% 16.5% 14.3% 11.4% 9.0% 5.6% 3.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
William Lewis 3.8% 5.5% 7.8% 7.7% 9.6% 11.1% 12.6% 11.9% 11.0% 9.8% 6.9% 2.3%
Charles Koules 1.5% 1.0% 2.5% 3.2% 4.4% 4.8% 6.4% 7.6% 11.2% 15.1% 19.7% 22.6%
Katherine Zimmerman 3.2% 3.7% 4.5% 6.4% 9.1% 10.7% 9.8% 11.7% 13.5% 13.3% 8.7% 5.4%
Learon McGinn 1.3% 1.4% 3.3% 3.0% 4.4% 5.5% 6.4% 8.2% 9.9% 14.9% 19.8% 21.9%
Max Vinocur 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% 5.9% 6.9% 9.8% 10.8% 12.3% 14.3% 13.5% 11.8% 6.3%
Susan Riley 4.5% 5.3% 5.3% 8.0% 11.0% 11.7% 12.3% 13.0% 11.3% 9.5% 5.7% 2.4%
Eric Villadsen 7.1% 8.4% 10.5% 13.6% 12.6% 12.5% 12.7% 10.3% 6.2% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8%
David Millstein 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 2.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 5.8% 8.8% 12.4% 20.5% 36.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.