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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University2.25+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+0.60vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.40+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.23+0.42vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.25+1.68vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.83+3.20vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10+0.37vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.86+1.10vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.25-1.22vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.23-3.33vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.84-5.61vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-1.19-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Washington University2.250.3%1st Place
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2.6University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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6.3Hope College0.400.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Michigan1.230.1%1st Place
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6.68Ohio State University0.250.0%1st Place
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9.2Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.1Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.78Michigan State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.67Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Chicago-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Ross | 30.0% | 26.4% | 19.8% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 31.0% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Rodgers | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 9.0% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Lewis | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Charles Koules | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 22.6% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Learon McGinn | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 21.9% |
| Max Vinocur | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| Susan Riley | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Eric Villadsen | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| David Millstein | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.