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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University2.25+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.23+2.44vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.40+3.31vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.24-1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.10+2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.84-0.75vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.25+0.70vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.83+1.03vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.23-2.36vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.25-3.38vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.86-2.67vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-1.19-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Washington University2.250.3%1st Place
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4.44University of Michigan1.230.1%1st Place
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6.31Hope College0.400.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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7.52University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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7.7Michigan State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.03Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.64Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.62Ohio State University0.250.0%1st Place
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9.33Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Chicago-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Ross | 30.0% | 24.1% | 22.2% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Rodgers | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 31.3% | 25.9% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Eric Villadsen | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Max Vinocur | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% |
| Charles Koules | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 22.2% | 20.3% |
| Susan Riley | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| William Lewis | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Learon McGinn | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 23.3% |
| David Millstein | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.