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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University2.25+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.23+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.84+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.10+2.49vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.25+1.88vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.40-0.79vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.83+1.06vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.25-2.42vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.86-0.87vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.23-4.14vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-1.19-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Washington University2.250.3%1st Place
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2.61University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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4.39University of Michigan1.230.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.88Michigan State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.21Hope College0.400.1%1st Place
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9.06Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.58Ohio State University0.250.0%1st Place
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9.13Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.86Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Chicago-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Ross | 29.4% | 27.0% | 19.4% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 30.8% | 26.6% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 12.5% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 5.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% |
| Max Vinocur | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 6.7% |
| Evan Rodgers | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Charles Koules | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 21.0% |
| William Lewis | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Learon McGinn | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 21.6% |
| Susan Riley | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| David Millstein | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.