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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+1.15vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+0.91vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+0.64vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.76-2.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.87-1.53vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.95vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.64-3.15vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.13-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Brown University3.020.4%1st Place
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2.91Connecticut College2.490.2%1st Place
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3.64Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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4.0Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.870.0%1st Place
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7.05Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.85Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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4.94University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 40.5% | 27.2% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 21.9% | 23.4% | 21.5% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 13.9% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 10.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Herring | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 22.0% | 23.8% | 11.6% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 58.5% |
| Lillian Vincens | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 17.7% | 27.7% | 20.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.