Race 7A

mcsa-open-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jake Weinstein 9.8% 11.3% 9.9% 12.0% 9.2% 9.7% 10.2% 10.2% 7.4% 5.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Andrew Michels 6.3% 6.9% 7.0% 7.3% 9.3% 9.5% 9.6% 9.4% 10.3% 8.6% 8.3% 4.3% 2.5% 0.5%
Braden Vogel 18.0% 15.7% 13.8% 12.7% 11.1% 9.4% 7.2% 5.2% 3.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Brieden 12.3% 12.1% 11.5% 11.3% 10.9% 10.7% 9.2% 7.9% 6.9% 3.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Timothy Hesse 16.4% 17.2% 15.6% 12.0% 11.2% 9.4% 6.8% 4.6% 3.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Greg Bittle 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.3% 9.6% 9.3% 9.6% 9.0% 7.3% 4.4% 2.5% 0.3%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 5.2% 3.9% 3.7% 5.2% 6.3% 6.5% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 11.8% 10.6% 10.4% 6.3% 2.4%
Nithya Balachander 8.5% 8.9% 10.2% 10.7% 9.4% 10.5% 8.8% 10.4% 7.2% 7.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Mason Shaw 6.6% 6.6% 7.7% 8.9% 8.2% 8.6% 10.0% 9.8% 10.1% 8.8% 8.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Nok In Chan 3.6% 4.3% 6.2% 5.0% 5.8% 5.8% 7.8% 8.5% 10.4% 11.9% 11.2% 11.0% 6.6% 2.0%
Jacob Hsia 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 3.0% 3.2% 4.7% 5.5% 7.2% 11.6% 17.5% 20.8% 15.6%
Jack Rutherford 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 3.0% 3.9% 4.4% 5.7% 8.0% 13.0% 16.2% 19.7% 15.3%
Keegan Aerts 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 3.2% 3.4% 6.7% 10.2% 19.1% 49.3%
Carly Irwin 2.0% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 2.8% 3.2% 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 10.4% 11.3% 17.0% 18.8% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.