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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+2.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02-0.80vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98-0.35vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49-2.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.87-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.13-3.00vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.64-3.17vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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2.2Brown University3.020.4%1st Place
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3.65Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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2.89Connecticut College2.490.2%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.870.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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5.83Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.04Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 11.1% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 38.5% | 26.8% | 18.6% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 13.9% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte List | 22.1% | 24.7% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Herring | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 24.5% | 11.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 8.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 26.2% | 19.3% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 19.3% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.