← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.76+2.93vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College1.98+1.70vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.49-0.13vs Predicted
-
4University of Connecticut1.13+1.05vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.02-2.81vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.87-0.61vs Predicted
-
8Fairfield University0.64-2.21vs Predicted
-
10Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
-
3.7Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
-
2.87Connecticut College2.490.2%1st Place
-
5.05University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
-
2.19Brown University3.020.4%1st Place
-
5.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.870.1%1st Place
-
5.79Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
-
7.06Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 10.5% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 12.9% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte List | 23.3% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 18.0% | 7.8% |
| Sophie Hibben | 38.8% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Herring | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 12.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 26.7% | 19.0% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 20.9% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.