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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+1.84vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02-0.79vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.76+0.01vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.64+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.13-0.96vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.98-3.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.87-2.53vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Connecticut College2.490.3%1st Place
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2.21Brown University3.020.4%1st Place
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4.01Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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5.77Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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5.04University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.62Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.870.0%1st Place
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7.05Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 25.1% | 22.1% | 22.0% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 37.6% | 28.4% | 17.9% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 10.6% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 24.9% | 18.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 7.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 13.0% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Herring | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 25.0% | 12.5% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 18.1% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.