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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University1.76+1.92vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49-0.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02-1.84vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.13-0.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.87-1.57vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64-2.20vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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2.92Connecticut College2.490.2%1st Place
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2.16Brown University3.020.4%1st Place
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3.69Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.870.0%1st Place
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5.8Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.07Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 11.4% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte List | 21.3% | 24.2% | 22.0% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 39.8% | 27.8% | 17.7% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 12.5% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 6.4% |
| Hannah Herring | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 21.9% | 12.8% |
| Lillian Vincens | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 26.4% | 19.2% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.