← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.64+1.80vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.36+1.19vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08+1.91vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.33-0.78vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.50-4.11vs Predicted
-
8Sacred Heart University-0.90-2.18vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University-1.92-2.11vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut-2.48-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
-
3.19Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
-
4.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
-
3.22Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
-
1.89Connecticut College2.500.5%1st Place
-
5.82Sacred Heart University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
6.89Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
-
7.27University of Connecticut-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Bergh | 20.1% | 25.1% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 13.9% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 26.8% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 32.6% | 27.4% | 9.2% | 1.5% |
| Haley Kachmar | 13.1% | 19.0% | 22.6% | 27.1% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 46.7% | 27.9% | 17.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristen LaHaise | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 19.0% | 40.5% | 21.1% | 7.8% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 6.4% | 14.2% | 39.4% | 35.4% |
| Olivia McLaughlin | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 9.3% | 29.2% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.