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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.50+1.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.73+1.07vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.20vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.36-0.40vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.33-1.38vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.92-0.05vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.90-2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-2.48-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Connecticut College2.500.4%1st Place
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3.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.730.2%1st Place
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3.2Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.6Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.62Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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6.95Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
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6.09Sacred Heart University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Connecticut-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Maurillo | 42.6% | 26.4% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Morgan | 17.2% | 20.8% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Bergh | 16.1% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 11.2% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 20.6% | 26.6% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 25.0% | 7.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 19.0% | 40.9% | 33.5% |
| Kristen LaHaise | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 48.2% | 27.1% | 8.6% |
| Olivia McLaughlin | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 9.6% | 29.3% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.