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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+1.80vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.36+1.19vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50-1.13vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.33-0.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.09vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.90-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-2.48-1.66vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-1.92-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.19Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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1.87Connecticut College2.500.5%1st Place
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3.2Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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4.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.88Sacred Heart University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Connecticut-2.480.0%1st Place
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6.81Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Bergh | 19.6% | 25.4% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 13.8% | 18.7% | 25.4% | 23.6% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 47.7% | 28.0% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 13.9% | 19.4% | 21.7% | 27.2% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 35.7% | 25.7% | 8.4% | 1.3% |
| Kristen LaHaise | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 17.5% | 38.5% | 25.1% | 7.4% |
| Olivia McLaughlin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 23.6% | 61.7% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 18.1% | 41.9% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.