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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+2.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.36+1.57vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50-0.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.73-0.91vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.33-1.32vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.90-0.94vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.92-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-2.48-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.57Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.1Connecticut College2.500.4%1st Place
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3.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.730.2%1st Place
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3.68Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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6.06Sacred Heart University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.99Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Connecticut-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Bergh | 17.0% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 12.0% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 23.8% | 7.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 41.3% | 26.6% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Morgan | 18.0% | 20.7% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 9.9% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 20.4% | 25.9% | 8.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kristen LaHaise | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 50.5% | 25.1% | 8.1% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 16.2% | 41.9% | 35.9% |
| Olivia McLaughlin | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 9.6% | 30.8% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.