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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08+3.89vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.50-0.11vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64-0.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.36-0.80vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.33-1.80vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.92+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-2.48+0.31vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.90-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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1.89Connecticut College2.500.5%1st Place
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2.83Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.2Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.2Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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6.87Fairfield University-1.920.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Connecticut-2.480.0%1st Place
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5.82Sacred Heart University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Edmonds | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 34.2% | 26.3% | 8.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 47.7% | 25.8% | 18.3% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Bergh | 18.9% | 24.5% | 25.3% | 20.0% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 15.0% | 18.5% | 21.5% | 26.6% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 13.1% | 21.3% | 22.4% | 23.9% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Ten Hoopen | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 6.3% | 15.0% | 41.7% | 32.3% |
| Olivia McLaughlin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 8.6% | 26.0% | 59.3% |
| Kristen LaHaise | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 17.1% | 40.7% | 22.3% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.