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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.28+0.90vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.18-0.04vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.07-2.94vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.09-3.83vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-0.78-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Queen's University1.280.4%1st Place
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1.96Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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3.06McGill University0.070.1%1st Place
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4.17Rochester Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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3.9Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sherar | 41.6% | 34.3% | 17.2% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 38.3% | 34.8% | 20.0% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 12.4% | 17.3% | 33.2% | 26.3% | 10.8% |
| Alexander Beahan | 3.3% | 4.9% | 13.6% | 27.6% | 50.6% |
| Sarah Culp | 4.4% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 33.9% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.