Race 8A

mcsa-open-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jake Weinstein 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 11.7% 9.6% 11.1% 9.9% 8.3% 7.2% 5.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Nithya Balachander 9.7% 8.9% 9.2% 10.8% 10.2% 9.6% 10.2% 8.3% 9.0% 6.3% 4.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 3.9% 5.3% 4.4% 5.6% 5.9% 6.4% 7.9% 8.6% 10.0% 12.2% 11.2% 10.0% 6.6% 2.1%
Braden Vogel 15.9% 16.3% 15.4% 12.3% 11.8% 9.4% 7.2% 6.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Michels 5.6% 7.0% 7.4% 7.8% 9.0% 8.4% 8.5% 10.2% 10.7% 9.8% 7.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6%
Nok In Chan 3.8% 3.4% 5.1% 4.5% 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 9.0% 9.2% 11.8% 13.2% 11.6% 7.0% 2.1%
Jack Rutherford 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 3.4% 3.9% 5.2% 6.9% 8.1% 10.9% 16.4% 19.4% 15.8%
Eric Brieden 14.0% 11.6% 12.3% 10.3% 10.9% 9.8% 9.7% 7.9% 6.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Jacob Hsia 1.8% 1.5% 2.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.5% 4.5% 6.2% 8.6% 12.4% 17.2% 19.5% 12.8%
Greg Bittle 6.9% 7.8% 9.3% 7.8% 8.3% 8.2% 9.3% 9.2% 10.2% 8.7% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Timothy Hesse 17.2% 17.4% 13.3% 13.3% 10.1% 9.7% 7.3% 5.0% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Mason Shaw 7.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.1% 8.8% 8.8% 9.4% 10.7% 10.2% 9.2% 8.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Carly Irwin 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 3.4% 5.5% 5.9% 8.4% 11.4% 15.7% 20.9% 14.6%
Keegan Aerts 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 2.4% 3.9% 6.2% 9.2% 18.8% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.