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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.28+0.90vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.18-0.02vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.09-1.84vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.78-3.09vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.07-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Queen's University1.280.4%1st Place
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1.98Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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4.16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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3.91Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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3.06McGill University0.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sherar | 42.5% | 34.0% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Baum | 38.1% | 34.2% | 20.4% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Beahan | 3.2% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 26.8% | 50.8% |
| Sarah Culp | 4.4% | 7.0% | 18.0% | 34.2% | 36.4% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 11.8% | 18.5% | 32.6% | 26.3% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.