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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.28+0.75vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.07+0.93vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.53-4.58vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.78-4.19vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.09-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Queen's University1.280.5%1st Place
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2.93McGill University0.070.1%1st Place
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2.42Queen's University0.530.2%1st Place
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3.81Penn State University-0.780.1%1st Place
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4.09Rochester Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sherar | 52.6% | 27.2% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 13.4% | 22.7% | 30.0% | 24.9% | 9.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 24.0% | 32.8% | 24.3% | 15.5% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Culp | 5.4% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 31.1% | 34.9% |
| Alexander Beahan | 4.6% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 23.0% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.