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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.28+0.76vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.53-0.59vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.07-2.09vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.78-3.18vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.09-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Queen's University1.280.5%1st Place
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2.41Queen's University0.530.2%1st Place
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2.91McGill University0.070.2%1st Place
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3.82Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sherar | 51.4% | 28.4% | 14.3% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 24.1% | 32.1% | 25.5% | 14.9% | 3.4% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 15.5% | 20.9% | 30.1% | 23.9% | 9.6% |
| Sarah Culp | 4.5% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 30.5% | 35.5% |
| Alexander Beahan | 4.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 25.8% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.