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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.28+0.76vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.53+0.44vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.78-4.21vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.07-6.06vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.09-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Queen's University1.280.5%1st Place
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2.44Queen's University0.530.2%1st Place
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3.79Penn State University-0.780.1%1st Place
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2.94McGill University0.070.1%1st Place
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4.08Rochester Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sherar | 51.4% | 28.1% | 14.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 23.6% | 31.5% | 25.8% | 15.5% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Culp | 6.6% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 30.2% | 35.8% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 13.7% | 22.6% | 30.0% | 23.8% | 9.9% |
| Alexander Beahan | 4.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 25.8% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.