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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.29+0.83vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.39-0.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-0.32-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.52-3.86vs Predicted
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9University of Toronto-0.30-5.18vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-1.58-5.46vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Queen's University1.290.5%1st Place
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2.81Queen's University0.390.2%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Military Academy-0.320.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Rochester-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.54Penn State University-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.97Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Aulthouse | 50.9% | 26.8% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Restivo | 19.7% | 28.0% | 22.7% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Albert Biddle | 8.7% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 12.5% | 4.4% |
| Thomas Barton | 7.4% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 23.3% | 17.3% | 5.7% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 8.8% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
| James Pogorzelski | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 32.5% | 31.1% |
| Robert Ichiyama | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 21.1% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.