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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3Queen's University1.29-1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.52-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-0.30-2.17vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.39-4.13vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-1.58-4.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-0.32-7.17vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Queen's University1.290.5%1st Place
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4.09University of Rochester-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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2.87Queen's University0.390.2%1st Place
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5.55Penn State University-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Military Academy-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.97Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Aulthouse | 48.7% | 29.4% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Barton | 7.4% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 23.3% | 16.2% | 5.6% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 9.1% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 22.5% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 3.6% |
| Victoria Restivo | 20.3% | 24.7% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| James Pogorzelski | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 32.0% | 32.3% |
| Albert Biddle | 10.1% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 4.6% |
| Robert Ichiyama | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 21.6% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.