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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toronto-0.30+2.76vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.29-2.18vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.39-2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.52-1.84vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-1.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.32-5.14vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.58-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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1.82Queen's University1.290.5%1st Place
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2.87Queen's University0.390.2%1st Place
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4.16University of Rochester-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.1Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Military Academy-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.43Penn State University-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 11.2% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 12.3% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 49.5% | 30.1% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 18.9% | 25.2% | 25.0% | 17.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Barton | 6.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 25.2% | 16.7% | 5.2% |
| Robert Ichiyama | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 21.8% | 56.3% |
| Albert Biddle | 9.5% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 12.3% | 4.6% |
| James Pogorzelski | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 32.0% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.