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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy-0.32+2.79vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.29-0.17vs Predicted
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3University of Toronto-0.30+0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.52-1.84vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.39-4.10vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-1.58-4.45vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79U. S. Military Academy-0.320.1%1st Place
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1.83Queen's University1.290.5%1st Place
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3.81University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Rochester-0.520.1%1st Place
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2.9Queen's University0.390.2%1st Place
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5.55Penn State University-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.96Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Biddle | 10.1% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 4.4% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 50.5% | 27.3% | 14.0% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 9.4% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 20.6% | 11.0% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Barton | 7.1% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 24.3% | 16.4% | 6.1% |
| Victoria Restivo | 18.8% | 26.5% | 22.8% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| James Pogorzelski | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 33.8% | 31.0% |
| Robert Ichiyama | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 21.3% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.