Race 9A

mcsa-open-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jake Weinstein 10.0% 10.9% 11.8% 10.5% 10.3% 10.2% 10.2% 8.3% 6.0% 5.9% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Nithya Balachander 9.3% 9.8% 9.0% 9.6% 9.8% 9.5% 9.5% 9.4% 9.2% 6.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Timothy Hesse 18.4% 15.7% 15.3% 13.9% 11.2% 8.5% 6.4% 5.0% 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Braden Vogel 18.1% 16.2% 13.7% 12.6% 11.6% 8.8% 7.6% 5.0% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Michels 5.8% 7.0% 6.6% 9.1% 7.0% 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 8.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Eric Brieden 12.4% 12.1% 11.1% 11.4% 11.8% 9.8% 9.4% 8.5% 6.0% 4.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Nok In Chan 3.4% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 5.9% 5.8% 7.5% 9.2% 11.5% 11.8% 11.7% 10.4% 7.4% 2.5%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.5% 6.6% 8.1% 7.5% 7.9% 10.1% 11.3% 12.9% 8.7% 6.2% 2.6%
Jacob Hsia 1.9% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.9% 4.9% 5.7% 9.2% 12.2% 16.7% 19.6% 13.9%
Greg Bittle 7.2% 6.6% 8.1% 8.5% 8.2% 9.4% 10.3% 9.2% 10.4% 8.9% 6.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Jack Rutherford 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 4.7% 5.1% 8.0% 12.7% 17.7% 20.6% 14.8%
Mason Shaw 6.2% 8.1% 8.1% 6.3% 8.5% 9.8% 9.0% 10.7% 10.2% 8.6% 7.6% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Carly Irwin 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 5.5% 7.2% 8.2% 11.3% 16.4% 19.8% 14.9%
Keegan Aerts 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 3.5% 5.8% 9.6% 19.0% 49.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.