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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.16vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.12-0.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.90+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.60vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.19-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.32University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.26University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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5.27California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 33.0% | 31.5% | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 30.3% | 25.5% | 29.7% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dahl | 30.1% | 29.5% | 27.6% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 26.3% | 36.0% | 23.7% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 32.1% | 30.9% | 19.6% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 12.0% | 26.2% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.