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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toronto-0.30+2.78vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.39+0.86vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.29-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.52-1.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.32-5.13vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-3.92vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-1.58-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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2.86Queen's University0.390.2%1st Place
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1.81Queen's University1.290.5%1st Place
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4.16University of Rochester-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Military Academy-0.320.1%1st Place
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6.08Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
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5.43Penn State University-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 10.5% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 13.0% | 4.3% |
| Victoria Restivo | 19.3% | 26.1% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 50.8% | 28.1% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barton | 6.7% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 24.7% | 16.7% | 5.4% |
| Albert Biddle | 8.6% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 22.0% | 20.4% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Robert Ichiyama | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 21.1% | 55.6% |
| James Pogorzelski | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 33.7% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.