← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Queen's University1.29-0.13vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University0.39-0.18vs Predicted
-
4University of Rochester-0.52+0.14vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-0.32-3.14vs Predicted
-
9Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-2.91vs Predicted
-
10Penn State University-1.58-4.44vs Predicted
-
11University of Toronto-0.30-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87Queen's University1.290.5%1st Place
-
2.82Queen's University0.390.2%1st Place
-
4.14University of Rochester-0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.86U. S. Military Academy-0.320.1%1st Place
-
6.09Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
-
5.56Penn State University-1.580.0%1st Place
-
3.67University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Aulthouse | 49.3% | 27.0% | 14.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Restivo | 18.3% | 28.6% | 24.3% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Barton | 7.1% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 22.6% | 16.5% | 5.7% |
| Albert Biddle | 9.2% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 21.5% | 20.7% | 14.4% | 2.9% |
| Robert Ichiyama | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 22.2% | 55.3% |
| James Pogorzelski | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 32.0% | 32.2% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 12.1% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.