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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.29+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-0.52+2.11vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.39-3.16vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.58-2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Toronto-0.30-5.16vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-3.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-0.32-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Queen's University1.290.5%1st Place
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4.11University of Rochester-0.520.1%1st Place
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2.84Queen's University0.390.2%1st Place
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5.6Penn State University-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.84University of Toronto-0.300.1%1st Place
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6.06Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Military Academy-0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Aulthouse | 49.7% | 26.1% | 15.6% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barton | 7.3% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 23.3% | 14.6% | 6.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 19.8% | 26.3% | 22.9% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| James Pogorzelski | 1.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 33.1% | 32.8% |
| Alexandra McLaughlin | 9.0% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 13.4% | 3.9% |
| Robert Ichiyama | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 23.1% | 53.9% |
| Albert Biddle | 11.9% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 21.8% | 11.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.